Boost Your Chances with Expert MLB Predictions for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

Understanding Public and Money

Similar to Andrew Abbott, Zac Gallen has some home and road splits that make you wonder why they keep giving him the ball outside of his home park. His ERA on the road is a bloated 7.44 while at home it's just a 3.65 ERA. He's allowed 8+ hits in three straight starts, with 4+ runs allowed in each, and he's missed the full six innings mark with regularity this year. The DBacks have a chance to win a series with a win today, something they've not done since May 27th, so I don't think they let things get out of hand is Gallen begins to struggle.

The home and away splits for Andrew Abbott are the reason to fade him on the full six innings here today. We get solid hitting weather in Great American Ballpark and at this price, it's showing some value to take the under here. At home, Abbott is pitching to a 5.15 ERA while it's just a three ERA on the road. He's getting an extra day of rest and has hit the six inning mark with regularity of late, but against a DBacks team that's been significantly better vs. lefties, I'm going to fade the full six innings here and bet on the heat and DBacks offense to knock him out.

Caesar’s. Two factors at bay here that skew me towards the under. For one, the Diamondbacks are an excellent hitting team against left-handed pitching - .767 OPS on the season, and .857 OPS over the last month (with a 132 OPS). Secondly, we have great hitting conditions at Great American Ballpark in the earlier part of the game, leading into rain. Andrew Abbott isn’t the most efficient pitcher (3.97 pitches per plate appearance, 1.48 WHIP at home), and for him to clear this line, it might be a race against the impending weather.

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