Dallas Wings to Snap Skid Against Slumping Toronto Tempo in WNBA Matchup

The Toronto Tempo, fresh off a nine-game losing streak that has dropped them 12 games below .500, will face off against the Dallas Wings on Wednesday night. Despite their recent skid, the Wings are favored to win this matchup, and for good reason. Dallas has continued to improve, going from a 10-win team last season to 19-14 through 33 games in 2026, with Paige Bueckers being an MVP candidate, even if winning an award is a long shot. Bueckers is averaging 20.1 points per game while shooting 51.1 percent from the field and 39.3 percent from beyond the arc this season, showing great efficiency with her shooting.

The Tempo, on the other hand, have struggled mightily on the defensive end all season long. The injury to star guard Brittney Sykes really derailed their first year in the W, causing their downfall. As a result, they've had a difficult time getting back on track, and it has led to them dropping nine games in a row and falling into a position where they cannot make the playoffs. Their poor defensive record is one of the main reasons for their downfall, as they have struggled to defend their opponents effectively. The Tempo have a net rating of minus-19.0 over their last 10 games by far the worst mark in the WNBA.

Meanwhile, Dallas is still in a great spot to make the playoffs despite their recent skid. The Wings are currently 4-4 against the spread as home favorites but lost their last home game by double digits to Golden State. They need to get back on track, and this matchup against Toronto might be what they need to turn their luck around. With Bueckers' impressive play and the Wings' overall improvement, they should be able to cover the spread at home.

The Wings have gone through a tough stretch lately, losing three games in a row and six of their last 10 games, causing them to fall into the 8th position in the WNBA. Despite their current position, they still have a good chance of making the playoffs. To avoid a brutal first-round matchup with a team like Minnesota or Las Vegas, they need to get back on track ASAP. Over their last 10 games, the Wings haven't given bettors much to get excited about, posting a -1.3 net rating, which is a concern.

Can the Wings snap their three-game skid and cover the spread at home? While they've struggled lately and it's getting late in the season, the Tempo's poor defensive record makes this matchup an ideal chance for them to break their losing streak. The Tempo have dropped nine games in a row, and Toronto is just 4-11 straight up on the road, despite covering the spread in 10 of those games. So, while there's an argument for Toronto to keep this game close since Dallas has been in a slump, the Tempo defense has been awful, ranking last in points per game allowed and defensive rating.

Dallas also has won by double digits in both of their meetings against these squads in 2026, including a big win in their second matchup against Toronto this season. Bueckers thrived against the Wings in both their meetings, scoring 22 points and 34 points, respectively, while shooting a combined 22-for-38 from the field. This prop is asking her to clear her season average, but the Tempo are the worst defensive team in the league, ranking dead last in both defensive rating and opponent points per game. With her recent performance of 23 points against Minnesota, Bueckers could be in line for another big game against a much weaker opponent.

Sports betting can be a challenging and unpredictable endeavor. However, when faced with a matchup between two teams with vastly different fortunes, there's often an obvious choice to make. This is the case with the Dallas Wings, who are still in a great position to make the playoffs, versus the slumping Toronto Tempo, who have fallen far behind in the WNBA standings. With the Tempo struggling on the road and the Wings fighting to return to the top four, it's clear which team holds the cards in this matchup.

Pick: Wings -9.5 (-110 at DraftKings)

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Find Peter Dewey's WNBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.