Expert Analysis: Aces vs Sky Prediction, Pick, Odds for Sunday, June 28, WNBA Basketball

David Butler II-Imagn Images. Pictured: Jewell Loyd

The Las Vegas Aces (13-5) and Chicago Sky (6-12) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 4:00 p.m. EDT at United Center in Chicago, Ill. The game will be broadcast live on CBS.

The Aces are favored by -7.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 180.5 (-110o / -110u). The Aces are a -300 favorite to win outright, while the Sky are +240 to pull off the upset.

Let's get into my Aces vs. Sky predictions and WNBA picks.

The Las Vegas Aces travel to the United Center on Sunday afternoon to kick off a home-and-home series against the Chicago Sky. Both teams head into this matchup riding the momentum of dominant, high-scoring victories.

The Las Vegas Aces continue to look like title contenders, boasting a 13-5 record. They are fresh off a convincing 99-84 win over the Dallas Wings, a game dictated by elite perimeter defense and typical brilliance from MVP frontrunner A'ja Wilson, who poured in 32 points. The Aces have won nine of their last eleven games and have been incredibly reliable on the highway, carrying an 8-2 road record into Chicago.

The Chicago Sky have endured a rockier season at 6-12, but they proved they can be dangerous when clicking. Chicago is coming off their most explosive offensive performance of the year—a 124-94 blowout win against the Portland Fire. Rookie center Kamilla Cardoso dominated inside with a 30-point performance, while veteran guard Skylar Diggins continues to steer the ship.

Our PRO Projections system identified an edge in the player prop market for Jewell Loyd.

Since joining the Aces, Loyd has transitioned into a highly effective complementary floor-spacer alongside Wilson, Jackie Young, and Chelsea Gray. She is averaging exactly 7.5 points in 27.0 minutes per game this season, making this number a true floor for her production.

The Sky struggle significantly on the defensive end, ranking 11th in the league in points allowed at 88.6 per game. They heavily struggle to defend elite passing teams, and Vegas ranks 1st in the WNBA in assists (23.1 APG).

Chicago’s defensive game plan will inevitably center around clogging the paint with Kamilla Cardoso to slow down Wilson, while throwing resources at Jackie Young on the perimeter. This defensive gravity creates wide-open, kick-out opportunities for Loyd beyond the arc.

Loyd cleared this mark in her last outing against Dallas, logging 8 points in 26 minutes of floor time. She also proved her explosive upside just a couple of weeks ago, erupting for a season-high 21 points on June 15.

In a game projected to be relatively high-scoring with a total sitting at 178.5, Loyd will have plenty of opportunities.

Best Bet: Jewell Loyd Over 7.5 Points

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