Tigers vs Astros: A Battle for Victory on Wednesday

The Detroit Tigers and Houston Astros have had a thrilling series so far, with each team taking one game. As the series finale approaches, the tension is palpable, and the oddsmakers are anticipating a narrow victory for the Detroit Tigers with right-hander Casey Mize on the mound.

Detroit is a favorite to win at -112, while Houston's Peter Lambert will be facing off against Mize.

The Astros have a formidable offense, but their pitching staff has struggled significantly, particularly in the bullpen. Houston's 4.72 bullpen ERA is the seventh-worst in the league.

With their current season performance, the Tigers are in danger of missing the playoffs. Will they be able to secure a road win in this crucial game?

Let's dive into the odds, a player prop to bet, and our prediction for this thrilling American League showdown.

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

With Mize's recent injury concerns, there's a possibility that the Tigers might ease him back into action. This could impact his performance, especially considering the strong Houston offense.

Mize has struggled with consistency this season, failing to complete five innings in three outings. His prop odds are also set relatively low, indicating that oddsmakers anticipate a shorter outing from the former All-Star.

In our recent MLB Best Bets column, we analyzed why we like the UNDER in this series finale:

This pitching matchup promises to be intriguing, as All-Star Casey Mize takes on Houston's Peter Lambert.

Mize has been impressive this season, boasting a 2.27 ERA and allowing two or fewer runs in eight of his nine starts. Lambert has also had a solid season, with a 3.47 ERA and eight appearances where he's given up three or fewer runs.

Given both teams' struggling bullpen ERAs, we still believe the UNDER is the way to go in this matchup.

The Tigers' offense has been underwhelming this season, ranking near the bottom in runs scored and wRC+. Even when Houston's bullpen takes over, bettors shouldn't expect much.

Lambert has been effective, ranking in the 76th percentile in expected batting average against, and his expected ERA is right around his actual ERA. Mize has been even more impressive, ranking in the 92nd percentile in expected ERA and the 87th percentile in expected BAA.

We predict a low-scoring game with these two starters on the mound, and these teams have gone UNDER in one of their two meetings so far this week.

Pick: UNDER 8.5 (-118 at DraftKings)

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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Peter is a senior editor for Sports Illustrated Betting. He has worked as a writer and editor for BetSided, NBC Sports, the Connecticut Sun and the Meriden Record-Journal covering the NBA, WNBA, NFL, MLB, and more. A New York City resident, he is a hoops fanatic with a soft spot for his New York Knicks.

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