El Nino Expected to Hit Indonesia Soon and Last Until 2027

According to the Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika, the El Nino phenomenon is expected to be active in Indonesia soon. The agency's head, Teuku Faisal Fathani, stated that this phenomenon could last until 2027.

Data from the Pacific Ocean in May 2026 showed a monthly anomaly of +1.0. Meanwhile, in the Indian Ocean, the sea surface temperature index showed a value of -0.56.

Teuku Faisal explained that the sea surface temperature anomaly in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean has exceeded the neutral limit for five decades.

The Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika predicts that the El Nino phenomenon will be active soon and last until early 2027, with a 98% chance of moderate intensity and a 62% chance of strong intensity.

Meanwhile, in the Indian Ocean, there is a possibility of a positive IOD occurring between July and November 2026.

El Nino is known to cause climate deviations in various parts of the world, not just in Indonesia, with different patterns and periods of impact.

On the other hand, the Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika also predicts that the peak of the dry season in Indonesia will occur in August 2026.

The peak of the dry season in most regions of Indonesia, which covers 48.84% of the country's land area, is expected to occur in August 2026.

In fact, the duration of the dry season in Indonesia is expected to be longer than usual.